Icy, Snowy Apocalypse Watch

snowy apocalypse meter 2013-11-26

So it begins.

The Icy, Snowy Apocalypse Watch makes its first appearance of this winter season in an anticipation of a Nor'easter projected to make its way up the East Coast during the middle of this week. And, as you might have heard, Thanksgiving is this Thursday. Which means this Wednesday is one of the busiest travel days of the entire year.

The paraphrased forecast:

Tuesday afternoon/night: Maybe snow/sleet to start, then rain and lots of it. Maybe as much an inch. Lows only in the mid 30s.
Wednesday morning: More rain. Maybe another inch. Warm, highs in the upper 40s.
Wednesday night: Yet more rain, though it could switch over to snow and ice. Lows in the mid 20s.
Thanksgiving: Sunny. 30.

So, more than anything, it looks like this Icy, Snowy Apocalypse will be almost all rain. That's probably better than snow, but it will be a significant amount of rain -- 2+ inches of rain is no joke -- so flooding is something to keep an eye on (it's a good idea to rake the leaves out of the storm sewer grates). And if things are going to get tricky, it may be Wednesday night when all the temps start to drop, raising the possibility of icy conditions. Areas to the north and west of the Capital Region could get some more serious of snow and ice.

This storm is projected to track up the I-95 corridor and then up the Hudson River (maybe it's taking Amtrak). That should keep most of the snow to the west. But as with any of these storms, you never really know until it follows the path. And if even it just ends up as a lot of rain and wind, the storm could slow travel along the super-congested corridor.

Media freakout plugin: New this year: a media freakout plugin for the Icy, Snowy, Apocalypse Meter. Even as we face mostly rain, the plugin is reading near medium levels of media freakout for this storm because 1) the storm as been hyped since last week and 2) the storm is overlapping with Thanksgiving travel and 3) Thanksgiving week is usually a slow news week. Enjoy your media freakout, and pass the cranberry sauce.

Necessary note: You should take this all with an enormous bag of rock salt. AOA has absolutely no weather forecasting expertise. At all. That said, the world will probably not end because of some snow. Most likely.

Comments

"Enjoy your media freakout, and pass the cranberry sauce."

Pure genius. Do you mind if I quote that repeatedly this week? Thanks so much.

"...this Icy, Snowy Apocalypse will be almost all rain."

In the city of Albany, maybe. Those of us on the hilltops and ridges will undoubtedly get snow. It's already here.

Well, this is the same local media that thinks "knockout" is a national epidemic.

"AOA has absolutely no weather forecasting expertise. At all."

Which certainly doesn't indicate that you'll be any more or less accurate than those who do possess such "expertise". What a gig - imagine having a job where you can still get paid for being dead wrong about half the time. Brilliant.

I suggest the "Steve Caporizzo Memorial Media Freakout Scale"

I think that the media freakout plugin should be quite useful for other than just meteorological events.

I'm liking the new meter. I wondered why the grocery store was packed yesterday and then heard, "we're getting a huge storm!!!!" Came home, looked up the forecast... a storm of mostly rain? Really? Panic, for that?

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