Icy, Snowy Apocalypse Watch

snowy apocalypse meter 2014-02-04

It's now February and the Icy, Snowy Apocalypse Watch finds itself curiously under used. Sure, this winter's had snow and it's been cold, but as they (don't really) say, it's been a dry cold.

That changes tonight. The paraphrased forecast:

Tuesday: Sunny, low 30s. Snow? What are you talking about?
Tuesday evening: Snow? Really?
Overnight Tuesday to Wednesday: Oh, so this is what you were talking about. Snow begins after midnight, with accumulations of maybe 4 inches by sunrise. Temps in the low 20s.
Wednesday morning: The snow continues with maybe another 8 inches. Temps around 30.
Wednesday evening: Maybe a bit more snow. Temps in the teens.

The National Weather Service has issued a winter storm warning from midnight Tuesday to 6 pm Wednesday. And 24-hour snow accumulations are projected to be in the 8-12 inch range. (Higher elevations could get 12-15.)

This storm is moving in from the southwest, and it seems like there's usually more certainty with storms from the west than the coastal storms and their fickle paths. In fact, NWS is projecting there's an 80 percent chance this area gets 7 or more inches during the period from midnight until noon Wednesday. Upside: NWS is predicting most of the snow will be just that -- we won't be subject to the wintry mix.

Even so, we're pegging this as a solid "grudging respect" icy, snowy apocalypse. A foot of snow is a respectable effort on winter's part. Add in that the not-terribly cold temps could lead to heavier snow (as opposed to the incredibly fluffy, super cold stuff we've had this winter), and the heart of the storm is hitting around the morning commute, and this could be some hassle.

Shovels at the ready, hardy Upstaters.

Media freakout forecast: Oddly enough, we're dialing down the predicted freakout. Eh, it's February, the hype muscles are probably feeling a bit fatigued.

Necessary note: You should take this all with an enormous bag of rock salt. AOA has absolutely no weather forecasting expertise. At all. That said, the world will probably not end because of some snow. Most likely.

Comments

My assumption is the Media Freakout rating directly correlates with the direction of the storm's path - especially if we're including national media.

Approaching from the southwest, with a 80% chance of 7-12 inches of snow? Meh, whatever... they're used to it.

Approaching from the east/southeast, over NYC and/or Boston with a 10% chance of 0-whoknows inches of snow? Prepare the snow-proof bunker! Gotta get the bread and milk!

I like the "media freakout"-o-meter. Because, as a whole, the media can go a bit overboard.

In my case, it's not my fault - my editors make me do the obligatory weather story. I don't wanna.

"Media freakout forecast: Oddly enough, we're dialing down the predicted freakout. Eh, it's February, the hype muscles are probably feeling a bit fatigued."

Plus, the media freakout over the recent stock market decline has used up this month's entire freakout reserves. Gotta build up more for March Madness.

Say Something!

We'd really like you to take part in the conversation here at All Over Albany. But we do have a few rules here. Don't worry, they're easy. The first: be kind. The second: treat everyone else with the same respect you'd like to see in return. Cool? Great, post away. Comments are moderated so it might take a little while for your comment to show up. Thanks for being patient.

The Scoop

Ever wish you had a smart, savvy friend with the inside line on what's happening around the Capital Region? You know, the kind of stuff that makes your life just a little bit better? Yeah, we do, too. That's why we created All Over Albany. Find out more.

Recently on All Over Albany

A quick recap of the week

Here are a few highlights from the past week on AOA: + We announced the finalists for this year's AOA Startup Grant. The final presentations... (more)

The Seahawks didn't run the ball and The Clark ended up with this painting

This work -- Albert Bierstadt's "Puget Sound on the Pacific Coast" -- arrived at the Clark Friday on loan as part of the museum's Super... (more)

Insane Inflatable 5k 2015

The Insane Inflatable 5k is set to return to the area September 5. The race with giant inflatable obstacles (like the one above) will be... (more)

AOA Startup Grant finalists presentations are this Monday

Just a quick reminder that the finalists presentations for the AOA Startup Grant are this coming Monday evening (April 20) at the College of Saint... (more)

Stuff to do this weekend

Psst. Hey, you. Yes... you. Guess what? It's the weekend. Yep, at long last your weekend is here, and it's filled with potential. After the... (more)

Recent Comments

Right of the bat a great way to improve taxi service here: DUMP the zone and cab share policies add credit card payment. These are confusing, unfriendly to visitors, and there's no consistency.

Because it's park furniture shaped like a tulip

...has 6 comments, most recently from Marco Manders

The 1780 Beer Challenge

...has 2 comments, most recently from Teresa Pavoldi

Where to get top soil, mulch, gravel?

...has 22 comments, most recently from Kim Wilson

B. Lodge on Pearl Street

...has 11 comments, most recently from B.Lodge

Morning Blend for Apr 16

...has 1 comment, most recently from Big 'Vic' Proton