How New Yorkers see the presidential race

siena poll republicans clinton sanders vs republians

Republicans who told the Siena poll they'd vote for either Clinton or Sanders.

A lot of the stuff about the presidential race in the Siena poll out Monday is, well, pretty much what you'd expect in New York State. Democratic respondents said they preferred Hillary Clinton to Bernie Sanders 55-34 in a primary. And respondents picked Clinton over all the potential Republicans in a theoretical matchup by relatively consistent margins of about 57-32 (or thereabout).

But one of the things about Hillary Clinton is that she's a polarizing figure -- even here in New York State, which elected her to the US Senate. That table above lists how many Republican respondents to the Siena poll said they would vote for either Clinton or Bernie Sanders in a hypothetical matchup with each of the various Republican contenders. (The margin of error for Republicans in the poll is relatively high -- see below -- so grains of salt.)

Yep, some number of Republicans not only said they're likely to vote for the Democrat -- but a portion (or portions) said they'd be more likely to do so if the Democrat was Bernie Sanders instead of Hillary Clinton. And just going on general ideology, that's kind of unexpected because Sanders has repeatedly described himself as a socialist -- and even criticized Clinton for being too moderate.

Of course, there's a lot more to the situation, including a Hillary Clinton's long history in the political spotlight. But, still, the preference is a little surprising.

Speaking of polarizing figures (Donald Trump)...

Donald Trump had the largest percentage of respondents in the poll describe their view of him as "unfavorable" -- 77 percent -- of any of the presidential candidates. Even among Republicans respondents, Trump had a 51/43 favorable/unfavorable split. (Only Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz had unfavorables that high among Republicans.)

But among respondents registered with the party, Trump still had the highest number of people say they'd vote for him in a Republican primary here -- 34 percent. The next highest were Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio at 16 percent.

Who's going to win?
The Siena poll asked respondents, regardless of who they support, who they thought would actually win the presidency. About half said Clinton (49 percent), with Trump getting the next most mentions (19 percent).

The Siena Research Institute says the poll was conducted January 31-February 3. Margin of error for all respondents is +/- 3.8 percent, for registered Democrats it's +/- 5.6 percent, and for registered Republicans it's +/- 7 percent.

Comments

Really hoping you haven't invited the Bernie Bots to AOA.

Say Something!

We'd really like you to take part in the conversation here at All Over Albany. But we do have a few rules here. Don't worry, they're easy. The first: be kind. The second: treat everyone else with the same respect you'd like to see in return. Cool? Great, post away. Comments are moderated so it might take a little while for your comment to show up. Thanks for being patient.

What's All Over Albany?

All Over Albany is for interested and interesting people in New York's Capital Region. In other words, it's for you. It's kind of like having a smart, savvy friend who can help you find out what's up. Oh, and our friends call us AOA.

Search

Recently on All Over Albany

Yep, this summer was unusually hot

Summer ends this weekend.* And it's been hot -- unusually so, by a few measures. One of those is 90+ degree days. The Albany area... (more)

Newburgh, Catskill, Troy

Those three cities get the "Next Hudson, but maybe different?" treatment from New York Magazine. Earlier: A check list for Upstate Place/Rust Belt City is... (more)

Stuff to do this weekend

Welcome to the first weekend of fall -- otherwise known as festival season in the Capital Region. This weekend's festivals include music, hot air balloons,... (more)

The old riverfront and the old bridge

Random historical photo we stumbled across while looking for something else: This aerial photo of the Albany riverfront is from 1969 and shows the... (more)

Hudson Valley Gamer Con

Video games are now being treated like sports. Colleges are fielding teams. And some of those teams will be at the Albany Capital Center March... (more)

Recent Comments

La Mexicana is a treasure. We always buy a few packages of the Chorizo and freeze them (after stopping in for tacos) -Great market and really cool restaurant.

Stuff to do this weekend

...has 1 comment, most recently from Nancy

A look around the Maiden House residential + retail conversion in downtown Albany

...has 9 comments, most recently from Jeff D

Silver Fox Salvage is closing

...has 1 comment, most recently from Daleyplanit

Where to buy Mexican-style chorizo?

...has 9 comments, most recently from WCF

Friend connections across space and time

...has 1 comment, most recently from h