Siena poll: Cuomo still has a big lead

cuomo and paladinoThe Siena poll out this morning reports that Andrew Cuomo leads Carl Paladino 57-24 in the race for governor (margin of error +/- 3.5). And Rick Lazio registers at... eight.

So, that's quite a different result from yesterday's Quinnipiac poll that reported Cuomo was ahead by just six points. And a Survey USA poll also out yesterday reported Cuomo was ahead by nine points.

There are a few differences between the Siena poll and the other two. First, Siena included Rick Lazio and the others did not. And the Siena poll surveyed registered voters, while the others surveyed "likely" voters.

Polling data uber-nerd Nate Silver examined the likely voter issue after Wendnesday's surprising Q Poll result. Likely voter models tend to favor Republicans a bit. But after talking with people at Quinnipiac, Silver concluded it probably doesn't explain Paladino's surge in the poll.

So... who knows where things are at right now. There are still 40 days before Election Day, which is plenty of time for the situation to change. Let's hope for a debate or two. Or at least a more interesting exchange between the candidates than a Photoshop competition.

A few other bits from the Siena poll

+ Chuck Schumer leads Jay Townsend 64-30.

+ Kirsten Gillibrand leads Joe DioGuardi 57-31 (though, that Survey USA poll only had her up 45-44)

+ No one knows who's running for attorney general. Both candidates -- Eric Schneiderman and Dan Donovan -- have don't know/no opinion scores over 60. The same thing goes for the comptroller matchup between Tom DiNapoli and Harry Wilson.

Comments

I think likely voters is a more accurate representation, especially in an off year.

I glanced at the headline and totally misread it as "Siena poll: Cuomo still has a big head". That made me then glance over at his picture and think "Really? His head looks perfectly normal! Do they mean it in the figurative sense?". Then I started wondering why Siena would even conduct a poll like that, unless they were trying to be rude. And the only reason why they'd be rude to Cuomo is if they were trying to help Paladino! Then I re-read the headline correctly and everything shifted back into reality. And WOW I really need to lie down after that crazy roller costar ride.

Say Something!

We'd really like you to take part in the conversation here at All Over Albany. But we do have a few rules here. Don't worry, they're easy. The first: be kind. The second: treat everyone else with the same respect you'd like to see in return. Cool? Great, post away. Comments are moderated so it might take a little while for your comment to show up. Thanks for being patient.

The Scoop

Ever wish you had a smart, savvy friend with the inside line on what's happening around the Capital Region? You know, the kind of stuff that makes your life just a little bit better? Yeah, we do, too. That's why we created All Over Albany. Find out more.

Recently on All Over Albany

Capital Region economic development grants: Tivoli Preserve, Albany Skyway, Nipper, Troy movie theater, craft beverages, and more

Originally published Thursday at 2:20 pm. Updated Thursday at 4:05 pm. The Capital Region got $83.1 million in the state's annual Regional Economic Development Council... (more)

Sonia Sotomayor at UAlbany

Supreme Court justice Sonia Sotomayor will be speaking at UAlbany's SEFCU Arena April 4. The event will be free and open to the UAlbany community,... (more)

Solid Sound 2017 early-bird tickets

Early-bird tickets for the next summer's Solid Sound Festival at MASS MoCA go on sale this Friday, December 9 at 10 am. Three-day passes will... (more)

Adapting for a more extreme future

The Northeast US is looking at average temperature rises of a few degrees over the next century because of climate change, according to the some... (more)

Morning Blend

Regional Economic Development Council awards The winners of the annual Regional Economic Development Council grants are expected to be announced today. $750 million will be... (more)

Recent Comments

I grew up in the Utica area and moved out here in 1998. It really is funny how different the cultures are less than 100 miles away. It's more laid back in the Utica/Syracuse area, and the culture is much more "country" whereas Albany and a lot of the are around it is much more fast paced and has more of a NYC influence. Both are nice places to live, but definitely different vibes.

The best place to get a fresh-cut Christmas tree?

...has 22 comments, most recently from Tess Lecuyer

What if Albany is upstate, but not "Upstate"?

...has 9 comments, most recently from komradebob

Adapting for a more extreme future

...has 2 comments, most recently from BS

Phoenicians Mediterranean Palace

...has 5 comments, most recently from Billy

Solid Sound 2017 early-bird tickets

...has 1 comment, most recently from Michael H