Surprises in local state Senate races?

state senate 43 and 46 district maps

A couple of interesting things about two local state Senate races in the Siena poll out today:

Roy McDonald
Here's how respondents said they'd be voting in the state Senate 43rd election:
Kathy Marchione (R): 40%
Roy McDonald (I): 29%
Robin Andrews (D): 25%
(MOE +/- 4.4%)

Yep, Roy McDonald -- who stopped campaigning after narrowly losing the Republican primary -- polled ahead of the Democrat in the race, Robin Andrews. Two questions that occurred to us because of this result:

+ Could Roy McDonald have won the general election if he kept going?

+ And/or, is McDonald's relatively strong showing in the poll just an artifact of incumbency? Of all the candidates in the field, he's the one most likely to be known by voters. And 67% of respondents in the Siena poll said they didn't know about/didn't have an opinion of Robin Andrews.

State Senate 46th
The state Senate 46th district is new this year -- it covers large parts of Albany, Schenectady, Greene, Montgomery, and Ulster counties. It was created during the recent round of redistricting. And the conventional wisdom is that the district was drawn specifically for George Amedore, a Republican state Assemblyman from Rotterdam.

But, according to the Siena poll, Amedore leads Democrat Cecilia Tkaczyk just 47-44 (MOE +/- 4.6%).

Here's voter enrollment for the district, as of August 31 (rounded): Dem 34% | Rep 29% | Con 3% | Wor .5% | Ind 5.5% | Gre .3% | Unaffiliated 27%

Two Super PACs recently said they'd drop $500,000 in support of Tkaczyk -- Amedore had a big money lead prior to that. [NYT] [TU]

Comments

I saw that Cecilia T. on Capital Tonight last year talking about equity in school funding and I was impressed by her knowledge and skill in communicating the issues. I don't live in the district, though.

Say Something!

We'd really like you to take part in the conversation here at All Over Albany. But we do have a few rules here. Don't worry, they're easy. The first: be kind. The second: treat everyone else with the same respect you'd like to see in return. Cool? Great, post away. Comments are moderated so it might take a little while for your comment to show up. Thanks for being patient.

The Scoop

Ever wish you had a smart, savvy friend with the inside line on what's happening around the Capital Region? You know, the kind of stuff that makes your life just a little bit better? Yeah, we do, too. That's why we created All Over Albany. Find out more.

Recently on All Over Albany

Troy Hidden Garden Tour 2016

The popular Troy Hidden Garden Tour returns Thursday, May 26 from 4-7:30 pm. Tickets are currently available online -- they're $10. This is the 17th... (more)

What's up in the Neighborhood

Among the topics in this most recent spin around the Capital Region's online neighborhood: NIMBYism, neighborhood reactions, pecking orders, Woolworth's, a principal, a close gem,... (more)

Saratoga (Fill in the Blank)

Over at the Times Union, Brian Nearing reports that Saratoga Spring Water is challenging the use of the name "Saratoga" by the Saratoga Juice Bar... (more)

Upcoming Sanctuary for Independent Media events include Julian Assange, Amy Goodman

The next month of events at the Sanctuary for Independent Media in Troy includes some notable names, including Wikileaks founder Julian Assange, Democracy Now's Amy... (more)

Morning Blend

Silver sentenced As lawmakers returned to the Capitol on Tuesday, former Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver was sentenced to 12 years in prison on corruption charges.... (more)

Recent Comments

I know why I take the bus more - because it's easier to take now! Busplus from Schenec to Albany gives me a nice relaxing ride and I can do work or read my book, I basically gain an extra hour of my life. Can't wait for the navigator cards to ramp up. Much better than those ten trips.

Saratoga (Fill in the Blank)

...has 1 comment, most recently from Amelia

"They almost operate like a hedge fund that conducts classes"

...has 1 comment, most recently from ace

Spring plant sales 2016

...has 6 comments, most recently from WendyG

Hugh Farley is not running for re-election

...has 1 comment, most recently from Rob

New York's (now lost) native parrot

...has 3 comments, most recently from Kashmir Csaky