Surprises in local state Senate races?

state senate 43 and 46 district maps

A couple of interesting things about two local state Senate races in the Siena poll out today:

Roy McDonald
Here's how respondents said they'd be voting in the state Senate 43rd election:
Kathy Marchione (R): 40%
Roy McDonald (I): 29%
Robin Andrews (D): 25%
(MOE +/- 4.4%)

Yep, Roy McDonald -- who stopped campaigning after narrowly losing the Republican primary -- polled ahead of the Democrat in the race, Robin Andrews. Two questions that occurred to us because of this result:

+ Could Roy McDonald have won the general election if he kept going?

+ And/or, is McDonald's relatively strong showing in the poll just an artifact of incumbency? Of all the candidates in the field, he's the one most likely to be known by voters. And 67% of respondents in the Siena poll said they didn't know about/didn't have an opinion of Robin Andrews.

State Senate 46th
The state Senate 46th district is new this year -- it covers large parts of Albany, Schenectady, Greene, Montgomery, and Ulster counties. It was created during the recent round of redistricting. And the conventional wisdom is that the district was drawn specifically for George Amedore, a Republican state Assemblyman from Rotterdam.

But, according to the Siena poll, Amedore leads Democrat Cecilia Tkaczyk just 47-44 (MOE +/- 4.6%).

Here's voter enrollment for the district, as of August 31 (rounded): Dem 34% | Rep 29% | Con 3% | Wor .5% | Ind 5.5% | Gre .3% | Unaffiliated 27%

Two Super PACs recently said they'd drop $500,000 in support of Tkaczyk -- Amedore had a big money lead prior to that. [NYT] [TU]

Comments

I saw that Cecilia T. on Capital Tonight last year talking about equity in school funding and I was impressed by her knowledge and skill in communicating the issues. I don't live in the district, though.

Say Something!

We'd really like you to take part in the conversation here at All Over Albany. But we do have a few rules here. Don't worry, they're easy. The first: be kind. The second: treat everyone else with the same respect you'd like to see in return. Cool? Great, post away. Comments are moderated so it might take a little while for your comment to show up. Thanks for being patient.

The Scoop

Ever wish you had a smart, savvy friend with the inside line on what's happening around the Capital Region? You know, the kind of stuff that makes your life just a little bit better? Yeah, we do, too. That's why we created All Over Albany. Find out more.

Recently on All Over Albany

Riding along with the skyline

We noticed this car in the Honest Weight parking lot the other day. It was wrapped -- both sides -- with an image of the... (more)

The First (and Probably Last) Annual Capital Region Feline Film and Video Festival for Humans at The Spectrum

Because we are a site on the internet we are required to post something about this -- because cats: The [deep breath] First (and... (more)

Boom bucks

Cost to implode and cleanup the Wellington annex, via Mike DeMasi: $160,000. (We wonder how much it would cost to do the same for the... (more)

Behold! New Lebanon

The Columbia County town of New Lebanon -- it's just across the border with Rensselaer County -- is attempting to turn itself into "the nation's... (more)

Drawing: Saratoga Wine & Food Festival

The Saratoga Wine & Food Festival is coming up this weekend at SPAC. And we have tickets for two of the festival's events. And we're... (more)

Recent Comments

... We also had tantalizing tomatoes that made us smile and have some more.The tomatoes were a gift from a man in the community gardens in Albany, that grew them just so he could share with people.That made them even sweeter...

Drawing: Saratoga Wine & Food Festival

...has 52 comments, most recently from nic

What to do with used books?

...has 10 comments, most recently from BobF

The First (and Probably Last) Annual Capital Region Feline Film and Video Festival for Humans at The Spectrum

...has 1 comment, most recently from Cori

Boom bucks

...has 2 comments, most recently from Hock41

Behold! New Lebanon

...has 1 comment, most recently from Jessica R W