Surprises in local state Senate races?

state senate 43 and 46 district maps

A couple of interesting things about two local state Senate races in the Siena poll out today:

Roy McDonald
Here's how respondents said they'd be voting in the state Senate 43rd election:
Kathy Marchione (R): 40%
Roy McDonald (I): 29%
Robin Andrews (D): 25%
(MOE +/- 4.4%)

Yep, Roy McDonald -- who stopped campaigning after narrowly losing the Republican primary -- polled ahead of the Democrat in the race, Robin Andrews. Two questions that occurred to us because of this result:

+ Could Roy McDonald have won the general election if he kept going?

+ And/or, is McDonald's relatively strong showing in the poll just an artifact of incumbency? Of all the candidates in the field, he's the one most likely to be known by voters. And 67% of respondents in the Siena poll said they didn't know about/didn't have an opinion of Robin Andrews.

State Senate 46th
The state Senate 46th district is new this year -- it covers large parts of Albany, Schenectady, Greene, Montgomery, and Ulster counties. It was created during the recent round of redistricting. And the conventional wisdom is that the district was drawn specifically for George Amedore, a Republican state Assemblyman from Rotterdam.

But, according to the Siena poll, Amedore leads Democrat Cecilia Tkaczyk just 47-44 (MOE +/- 4.6%).

Here's voter enrollment for the district, as of August 31 (rounded): Dem 34% | Rep 29% | Con 3% | Wor .5% | Ind 5.5% | Gre .3% | Unaffiliated 27%

Two Super PACs recently said they'd drop $500,000 in support of Tkaczyk -- Amedore had a big money lead prior to that. [NYT] [TU]

Comments

I saw that Cecilia T. on Capital Tonight last year talking about equity in school funding and I was impressed by her knowledge and skill in communicating the issues. I don't live in the district, though.

Say Something!

We'd really like you to take part in the conversation here at All Over Albany. But we do have a few rules here. Don't worry, they're easy. The first: be kind. The second: treat everyone else with the same respect you'd like to see in return. Cool? Great, post away. Comments are moderated so it might take a little while for your comment to show up. Thanks for being patient.

The Scoop

Ever wish you had a smart, savvy friend with the inside line on what's happening around the Capital Region? You know, the kind of stuff that makes your life just a little bit better? Yeah, we do, too. That's why we created All Over Albany. Find out more.

Recently on All Over Albany

Old trees out, new trees soon

James tagged us on Twitter today after noticing that a crew had taken down the trees in the southeast corner of the Empire State Plaza.... (more)

Talking about the fears of "bicycle face" and other preoccupations during the early history of women and bicycling

This could be interesting: The Schenectady County Historical Society is hosting a talk May 13 -- "Women on Wheels" -- by author/historian Ellen Gruber Garvey... (more)

History days at Cherry Hill and the Ten Broeck Mansion 2017

Two Albany historic mansions have annual history-themed events coming up... Albany History Fair Historic Cherry Hill in the South End is again hosting the annual... (more)

Morning Blend

UAlbany bus trial The two former UAlbany students who claimed they were the victims of a racially motivated attack on a CDTA bus 15-months ago... (more)

Today's moment of spring

There are a going to be a lot of tulip photos over the next few weeks. It's just the way it's going to be.... (more)

Recent Comments

I feel that when people don't confront inappropriate behavior it sends a signal that it is tolerated. I often speak up in situations like these, depending on my reading of the situation. If we consider ourselves part of a community we all have a role to play in signaling what is and isn't appropriate behavior.

Talking about the fears of "bicycle face" and other preoccupations during the early history of women and bicycling

...has 2 comments, most recently from Arnold

The quintessential Capital Region food?

...has 41 comments, most recently from Jack

Morning Blend for Apr 27

...has 1 comment, most recently from Amy

Garnet Douglass Baltimore, who was "as much of Troy as the monument"

...has 5 comments, most recently from Clifford Oliver

The Fort Orange General Store is re-opening

...has 2 comments, most recently from Peter