Surprises in local state Senate races?

state senate 43 and 46 district maps

A couple of interesting things about two local state Senate races in the Siena poll out today:

Roy McDonald
Here's how respondents said they'd be voting in the state Senate 43rd election:
Kathy Marchione (R): 40%
Roy McDonald (I): 29%
Robin Andrews (D): 25%
(MOE +/- 4.4%)

Yep, Roy McDonald -- who stopped campaigning after narrowly losing the Republican primary -- polled ahead of the Democrat in the race, Robin Andrews. Two questions that occurred to us because of this result:

+ Could Roy McDonald have won the general election if he kept going?

+ And/or, is McDonald's relatively strong showing in the poll just an artifact of incumbency? Of all the candidates in the field, he's the one most likely to be known by voters. And 67% of respondents in the Siena poll said they didn't know about/didn't have an opinion of Robin Andrews.

State Senate 46th
The state Senate 46th district is new this year -- it covers large parts of Albany, Schenectady, Greene, Montgomery, and Ulster counties. It was created during the recent round of redistricting. And the conventional wisdom is that the district was drawn specifically for George Amedore, a Republican state Assemblyman from Rotterdam.

But, according to the Siena poll, Amedore leads Democrat Cecilia Tkaczyk just 47-44 (MOE +/- 4.6%).

Here's voter enrollment for the district, as of August 31 (rounded): Dem 34% | Rep 29% | Con 3% | Wor .5% | Ind 5.5% | Gre .3% | Unaffiliated 27%

Two Super PACs recently said they'd drop $500,000 in support of Tkaczyk -- Amedore had a big money lead prior to that. [NYT] [TU]


I saw that Cecilia T. on Capital Tonight last year talking about equity in school funding and I was impressed by her knowledge and skill in communicating the issues. I don't live in the district, though.

Say Something!

We'd really like you to take part in the conversation here at All Over Albany. But we do have a few rules here. Don't worry, they're easy. The first: be kind. The second: treat everyone else with the same respect you'd like to see in return. Cool? Great, post away. Comments are moderated so it might take a little while for your comment to show up. Thanks for being patient.

The Scoop

Ever wish you had a smart, savvy friend with the inside line on what's happening around the Capital Region? You know, the kind of stuff that makes your life just a little bit better? Yeah, we do, too. That's why we created All Over Albany. Find out more.

Recently on All Over Albany

"Troubled" is one way of putting it

With Sheldon Silver's conviction this week on federal corruption charges, it's worth noting that 1) The Democrat and Chronicle keeps a "Troubled NY Lawmakers" database... (more)

Capital Region holiday events 2015

It's now December and the Capital Region's bag of holiday-themed events is stuffed with tree lightings, Victorian strolls, concerts, screenings of holiday classics, and a... (more)

Hedley District

The Hedley District project -- a proposal to build apartments, retail, and a large parking garage along River Street in Troy just a bit north... (more)

Yep, November was unusually warm

So, about this past November... It was the fifth warmest November on record in Albany, according to the National Weather Service. Its average temperature of... (more)

Morning Blend

Sheldon Silver convicted A jury found Sheldon Silver guilty on all seven counts against him in his corruption trial in federal court. With the conviction... (more)

Recent Comments

Needs more monorail.

What sort of winter hat should I get?

...has 9 comments, most recently from L

CDTA Navigator

...has 6 comments, most recently from harpoon

Morning Blend for Dec 1

...has 2 comments, most recently from Cyril

When the sun goes down

...has 3 comments, most recently from Laura

Prenatal classes?

...has 11 comments, most recently from Bonnie farrelly